In Contention


‘King’s Speech’ leads the pack with 12 Oscar nominations

Posted by Kristopher Tapley · 6:22 am · January 25th, 2011

On the face of it, the nominees for the 83rd annual Academy Awards seemed fairly unremarkable. Aside from the deafening nature of not hearing Christopher Nolan’s name in the line-up for Best Director (the only true shock of the major categories), everything seemed to be within the expected parameters (even Javier Bardem sliding in, which seemed, increasingly, like a very real possibility these last few weeks).

But then I got to looking through the craft category nominations and the real interesting beats started to surface. First and foremost, “The King’s Speech” led the field with a whopping 12 nominations, even scoring in the Best Sound Mixing category. That’s major, to say the least. And enough, along with the PGA win, to consider it the frontrunner to win the Oscar for Best Picture.

“True Grit” wasn’t far behind with 10 nominations, including a bid for the Coen brothers in Best Director after all. Hailee Steinfeld stayed in Best Supporting Actress and Bridges was chalked up, but again, let me go back to the more intriguing crafts fields.

Like, oh, Best Film Editing? Where somehow, some way, Lee Smith was outright shafted for his immaculate construction of “Inception?” That, coupled with Nolan’s directing snub, indicates to me that the film just didn’t have the support we thought it did. I find myself wondering if it would have been one of five after all. But I don’t want to overstate it, because the film did manage eight nominations.

I’m quite bummed that “Shutter Island” didn’t register at all. Not a single nomination for some of the most amazing work above and below the line this year. Chalk it up to an early release and a timid push, I’d say. But the film did its job in the grand scheme. It made money.

My other underdog fave, “The Way Back,” managed to score a nomination after all, and in the field I’ve been expecting for it since I saw it: Best Makeup.

I’m ecstatic for Mike Leigh’s inclusion in the original screenplay field, though it came at the expense of “Black Swan” (which was starting to look shaky here as of late, if you asked around). The other screenplay field, adapted, was the only one that I nailed 100%. But I imagine many did.

One thing I did see coming was that sound mixing nod for “Salt.” The mixing community really dug the work in that film and a last-minute screener mailing aimed strictly at the sound branch clearly did the trick. Congrats to Greg P. Russell on his 14th Oscar nomination.

Another shocker: “Waiting for Superman” was completely shut out. That means no nominations for Best Original Song OR Best Documentary Feature, the latter obviously being the shock as it was largely considered the frontrunner. I’m long on the record for thinking the film a bit less as a work of filmmaking than it is as a work of activism, so it’s certainly how I would have nominated. I’m nevertheless surprised at the doc branch’s individualism there. GREAT line-up this year.

Let’s see. There a few more things to note by way of instant analysis before breaking away for a bit. Speaking of the original song category, it only had four nominees, and none of them were for “Burlesque.” Instead, “Coming Home” from “Country Strong” scored.  Meanwhile, Alan Menken WOULD have tied Randy Newman for fourth-most-nominated-dude-still-living…if Newman hadn’t chalked up #20 today, that is.  Now Newman joins Kevin O’Connell under Woody Allen and John Williams for third-most among those still upright.

And the biggest left-field pick (which put a smile on my face) might be “I Am Love” grabbing a nomination for Best Costume Design. How frisky of the branch.

“TRON Legacy” was snubbed in the visual effects field, which is worth noting.  And it was “Hereafter” rather than “Scott Pilgrim vs. the World” that took its place.  I heard there was snickering about the handling of the younger Jeff Bridges at the bake-off, but that shouldn’t take away from all the other quality work on display in that film.  Alas.

Oh, and I’m happy that “Blue Valentine” saw some love for Michelle Williams, but I’d be lying if I didn’t say I was saddened by the (however expected) exclusion of Ryan Gosling, who gave the year’s best performance, bar none.

I went 92/120 in overall predictions, 82/105 in the ones most predicted (excluding shorts) and 38/45 in the top eight categories. Check out the full list of predictions at The Circuit. And stay tuned later today for a special edition of Oscar Talk with Guy Lodge and (hopefully) Peter Knegt joining in.  I’ll also have the sidebar updated and a fresh set of winner predictions soon.

Wait, one last thing……BANKSY!

[Photo: The Weinstein Company]




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114 responses so far

  • 1 1-25-2011 at 6:25 am

    Mr. 9 said...

    Can’t believe it – got them all right except I didn’t have “The Way Back” for make up (went with Alice).

    I AM AWESOME!!!!!

  • 2 1-25-2011 at 6:27 am

    Puchika said...

    Yay for Javier Bardem! I knew my favorite film of the year “THe Way Back” would get overlooked. In another decade, that film would have gotten the love it deserved.

  • 3 1-25-2011 at 6:30 am

    Danny said...

    Javier Bardem? Really???

  • 4 1-25-2011 at 6:30 am

    The Other James D. said...

    Ryan Gosling’s snub is rather tragic in the scope of these awards. It’s a shame everyone who nominated Williams at #1 didn’t do the same for Gosling. I dunno whether I’m more annoyed @ Julia Roberts and her campaign, or True Grit in general for not waiting a year perhaps.

    Bridges was so hammy, and for the second consecutive year, didn’t even deserve a nomination. Such a shame. In fact, I also feel bad for Duvall as well. Good thing Gosling’s still young and will probably get nominated again eventually, but still, it’s bad enough he was snubbed in 2007 for the likes of Johnny Depp and George Clooney, and now, it happens again….

  • 5 1-25-2011 at 6:33 am

    Speaking English said...

    “The King’s Speech” was over-nominated big time. Sound Mixing? Come on.

    Also very disappointed to see “Winter’s Bone” do so well. Hawkes was very good, but over Andrew Garfield? No no no!

  • 6 1-25-2011 at 6:34 am

    Speaking English said...

    ***… Lee Smith was outright shafted for his emasculate construction of “Inception?”***

    Do you mean, “immaculate?”

  • 7 1-25-2011 at 6:35 am

    Graysmith said...

    I nailed all 10 for Best Picture, The Town can suck it!

    I am also on a cloud for John Hawkes, that is just amazing.

    Biggest Snubs:
    1. Nolan for Director
    2. Tron Legacy for VFX
    3. Inception for Film Editing
    4. Black Swan for Original Screenplay
    5. Duvall for Actor

    Hard to argue against the nominees for Director and Actor though. Poor Nolan in particular (even if he still got two nominations).

    They liked 127 Hours better than expected, same with Winter’s Bone (it got four, and I predicted them all, happily). Black Swan wasn’t as loved as it was expected by most, same with Inception to a lesser degree.

    AND BANKSY IS AN OSCAR NOMINEE!

  • 8 1-25-2011 at 6:35 am

    Frank Lee said...

    Can I take a second to gloat? All along I said that the pacing of “Inception” was off-putting (bam-bam-bam-bam-bam with no finesse at all). I didn’t see it deserving of an editing nomination.

  • 9 1-25-2011 at 6:36 am

    Estefan said...

    Tron: Legacy not getting into visual effects was the biggest surprise for me. I thought that and Inception were the shoe-ins for that category.

    Also, no Tangled in animated feature. Obviously, it had its supporters with the song nomination and all, which makes it all the more surprising.

    But, I will call it even, since Burlesque got nothing, leading to a (maybe) easy victory for Alan Menken. Though, I wouldn’t count out Newman, if the Academy wants to give a second award to Toy Story 3.

  • 10 1-25-2011 at 6:39 am

    Michael said...

    So I guess there will be ten directing nominees next year…? haha poor Christopher Nolan

  • 11 1-25-2011 at 6:39 am

    Will said...

    Jacki Weaver’s nom makes me incredibly satisfied. I don’t even really care anymore. I got what I wanted. I’ll just be over here waiting for TKS to win and mumbling under my breath about how TSN is amazing.

  • 12 1-25-2011 at 6:42 am

    RichardA said...

    I’m glad Winter’s Bone got the nod for screenplay, acting, and BP nods that it got. I’d be the first one to admit that watching the movie, I wasn’t blown away. But the movie stuck in my mind for months. I guess it’s careful and subtle presentation made the most impact after all.

    Yay for John Hawkes and Jennifer Lawrence.

    Oh, sound mixing for King’s Speech is a surprising nod. But now that I think about it, the movie was a little history of audio and it had to get those right. It’s so important to present the sound of everything to listen to a stuttering king.

  • 13 1-25-2011 at 6:42 am

    Chase Kahn said...

    Let’s all put a certain Guy Lodge in our prayers…”Burlesque” completely shut out.

  • 14 1-25-2011 at 6:44 am

    Gabriel D. said...

    Alan Menken is one of Academy’s sweetheart and will win the original song category.

    I’m so glad for Michelle Williams, wow, second oscar nomination, after the snub of Wendy & Lucy!

    I was hoping a nod for Danny Boyle in directing, but he got one as producer and sreencplay.

    Dido- academy award nominee, cool!

  • 15 1-25-2011 at 6:46 am

    Tom Logan said...

    Ed Harris being snubbed for his sublime, masterful work in “The Way Back” is one of the biggest crimes this award season.

  • 16 1-25-2011 at 6:46 am

    Kristopher Tapley said...

    English: I do! That would be the Text Edit program playing tricks on me and auto correcting in my quick typing frenzy. But what an auto correction, eesh.

  • 17 1-25-2011 at 6:47 am

    Adam said...

    Kris, I have to say, THANK YOU for continuing to give an even-handed analysis of awards coverage. The Twitter feed of one of your colleagues at Awards Daily this morning is one of the funniest things I’ve ever seen, reminding people “it’s not that big of a deal” while she is clearly falling apart inside. When you try and validate yourself through this stuff, you will inevitably lose. The house wins. It’s just good fun.

  • 18 1-25-2011 at 6:47 am

    James The Greatest said...

    Dogtooth for Foreign Language was a surprise (in a good way!) as well.

  • 19 1-25-2011 at 6:47 am

    Dominik said...

    I´m very happy with this line-up! The 12 nominations for “The King´s Speech” suggest in comparison to the (quite respectable) 8 nods for “Social Network” a thrilling race for the win.

    “True Grit” would have been our unexpected darkhorse, if it wouldn´t have been snubbed for Best Editing.

    Now we have a race!

  • 20 1-25-2011 at 6:49 am

    Frank Lee said...

    Now that I’ve looked over the full list, I see that the three nominees on my wish list–Andrew Garfield, Mila Kunis, and Julianne Moore–got skunked. I’m bored already with the ceremony.

    By the way, does anyone know why there are only four best song nominees?

  • 21 1-25-2011 at 6:50 am

    Brady said...

    I’m most happy about How to Train Your Dragon getting the Score nomination! And Guy will for sure be stoked that The Illusionist made it in. Here’s my somewhat redundant analysis

  • 22 1-25-2011 at 6:54 am

    ChrisG said...

    As always: hit and miss. But… No Andrew Garfield? Poor Spidey. And that VFX category is looking absolutely ridiculous.
    But, um, Dogtooth anyone? I know at least one person who’s probably going nuts for this right now. And I’m going to import that DVD asap.

  • 23 1-25-2011 at 6:55 am

    Kristopher Tapley said...

    By the way, let’s not play the game of, “I thought such and such wasn’t worth and I feel vindicated by the Academy for snubbing it.” It’s just another group of people.

    And I noticed a lot of comments were quarantined in the other thread. Apologies for that. Safety function in response to the deluge, I think. They’re all there now.

  • 24 1-25-2011 at 6:56 am

    Kristopher Tapley said...

    Adam: You are wise, sir.

  • 25 1-25-2011 at 6:58 am

    Gabriel D. said...

    Oh lord, I just saw ”There’s a place for us” for original song.
    That makes Carrie Underwood an Academy award nominee!

  • 26 1-25-2011 at 6:59 am

    Graysmith said...

    127 Hours getting more nominations than Black Swan is crazy, but at least Aronofsky can laugh all the way to the bank too, unlike Boyle.

  • 27 1-25-2011 at 6:59 am

    Wilson said...

    Mad that Andrew Garfield got snubbed but atleast John Hawkes got that spot….Really Happy about How To Train Your Dragon score nomination and Harry Potter getting art direction is also kind of a shock……

  • 28 1-25-2011 at 7:00 am

    Rafael said...

    I´m very happy for Jacki Weaver and Dogtooth.

  • 29 1-25-2011 at 7:01 am

    Kristopher Tapley said...

    Wait, There’s a Place for Us was nominated? Not at Oscar.com. Or did they screw that up, too?

  • 30 1-25-2011 at 7:01 am

    Lucas said...

    “while she is falling apart inside” made me laugh very hard, in an empathetic way of course.

  • 31 1-25-2011 at 7:02 am

    The Other James D. said...

    Gabriel, I think you’re confused or the Oscar site is janked, because I only see four nominees, and that song is not one of them.

  • 32 1-25-2011 at 7:03 am

    Graysmith said...

    I don’t see a fifth song nominee on either Oscar site.

  • 33 1-25-2011 at 7:05 am

    www.imitationlife.com said...

    Delighted for: Another Year for screenplay, The Illusionist, Jacki Weaver, John Hawkes, Michelle Williams

    Saddened by: Lesley Manville, Ryan Gosling, total snub of The Ghost Writer (expected)

    Comments in the blog.

  • 34 1-25-2011 at 7:05 am

    Tye-Grr said...

    No Andrew Garfield is making me cry… So lame. He should’ve been there over Hawkes, or Ruffalo, or Renner… A damn shame.

    I’m also disappointed about the snubs for Kunis and Nolan in director, and Lee Smith’s brilliant editing in ‘Inception’. How did they miss that?

  • 35 1-25-2011 at 7:05 am

    Sam said...

    What I Liked:
    - Jackie Weaver for Animal Kingdom
    - John Hawkes for Winter’s Bone
    - Michelle Williams for Blue Valentine
    - Black Swan for Cinematography
    - Winter’s Bone for Best Picture

    What I loathed:
    - All the love for The Kids Are Alright. I have no problem with the Bening or Ruffalo nominations, but the Original Screenplay nod just pisses me off. Black Swan should have replaced it. The 800 pound gorilla in the room is the fact that Cholodenko’s film is being rewarded, not because of its artistic value, but its subject matter. I can’t stand it when the Academy is more interested in pushing an agenda, instead of rewarding artistic merit.
    - Javier Bardem nominated, Ryan Gosling snubbed. Inarritu’s films are pretentious and always depressing. Biutiful is no different. Bardem was good, but Gosling should of been nominated over him. It doesn’t make sense for Williams to be recognized, and not her co-star. Gosling’s was, in my opinion, the best male performance this year.
    - Christopher Nolan snubbed, again! This will be the dominant headline, but it really is a travesty that the Academy ignored him. He could have easily replaced Russell or the Coen brothers. What makes it even more aggravating is that Inception missed out on an Editing nod. Definitely the biggest joke this morning.
    - Waiting for Superman snubbed, with propaganda “docs” like Gasland (which was on television; I thought that automatically eliminated it from contention) and Inside Job getting recognized. But I guess I shouldn’t be surprised. WFS commits a big no-no in Hollywood, going after the teacher’s unions.

    All in all though, not too bad. I would agree that The King’s Speech, not The Social Network, should be considered the favorite to win Best Picture. Bening in the mediocre The Kids Are All Right should be favored as well, not Portman.

  • 36 1-25-2011 at 7:08 am

    Robert said...

    I enjoyed Black Swan, but I am not surprised by the lack of a screenplay nod. It’s entertaining, but there were too many campy moments in the movie to be taken as seriously as the Top 5 nominees in the original screenplay category.

  • 37 1-25-2011 at 7:08 am

    The Dude said...

    There were things announced today to feel proud of, a lot of them already covered by Kris. But, as with any year, there are also quite a few “wtf’s” thrown in for good measure, many (again) already covered by Kris: no Inception love in the Directing/Editing race (the latter of which I thought it could easily win), no “Black Swan” in screenplay, and no TRON for FX (I really don’t care if you thought the “young Bridges” FX didn’t look real…it was still MILES AND MILES better than the FX in “Hereafter”).

    For me (besides those mentioned), my biggest complaints would have to be no Garfield in Best Supporting Actor (which has been my fave this year, although I’ll admit I haven’t yet seen “The Fighter”) and no Daft Punk for Original Score (although we all saw it coming). I’m also a bit down on the fact that neither Kunis nor Hershey got in the Supporting Actress race, but honestly I can see why, and that race was a tight one anyway.

  • 38 1-25-2011 at 7:08 am

    Jasmine said...

    I’m pretty happy about the nominations, over all. There won’t be any Sandra Bullock moments this year, anyway…
    The biggest disappointment for me is that Ryan Gosling wasn’t nominated, though. And a smaller, (much more expected) disappointment is that Shutter Island wasn’t recognised, either. It was definitely one of my favourite films of the year.

  • 39 1-25-2011 at 7:12 am

    Gabriel D. said...

    About ”There’s a place for us”, My bad, I haven’t checked the good ceremony. Sorry!!

  • 40 1-25-2011 at 7:13 am

    amanda said...

    Im sad for Gosling not making it, but Williams gave a better performance and so if only one made it Im glad it was her.

  • 41 1-25-2011 at 7:15 am

    Matthew Starr said...

    King’s Speech for cinematography and sound mixing? Not good news for Social Network, along with Garfield not getting in.

    It’s pretty clear the Academy loves TKS. Let’s just pray that Tom Hooper does not steal the award from David Fincher. AMPAS can’t afford the embarrassment.

  • 42 1-25-2011 at 7:16 am

    Sertan said...

    I like all (almost all) the nominations! Yes it first seems a few snubs, but at least some other worthy performances got nominated. Yes Ryan Gosling was very good in Blue Valentine. But sinc i saw Biutiful i can say that Javier Bardem is also very good in that movie! So i dont feel bad about it!
    I think my only disappointment is not seeing Chris Nolan get nominated! Coen Bros over Chris Nolan??? He must have pissed some people off real bad!

    I think this also means that Fincher will get DGA this weekend! Nolan was the only possible threat, but now it is over I believe!

  • 43 1-25-2011 at 7:17 am

    RichardA said...

    It’s the Art Direction and Costume Design and Best supporting Actor that did in the The Social Network.

    All things being equal, these are three that nods that TSN missed to be on equal footing with The King’s Speech. Considering that The King’s Speech is a costume drama it’s expected to get those nods. And TSN isn’t a period drama, so it’s okay to miss those. But it’s BIG, BIG that Andrew Garfield missed best supporting actor–which happened all throughout the season.

    So, I’m calling it even-steven between TKS and TSN. But, momentum is on The King’s Speech, big time. It will embolden those who are on the fence between the two to go with TKS.

  • 44 1-25-2011 at 7:20 am

    Joey said...

    I am bummed that Gosling wasn’t nominated mainly because I feel like he and Williams really complimented each other. They both deserved to hear their names called.

  • 45 1-25-2011 at 7:22 am

    Loyal said...

    Finally I can get on this site!!!

    There are no words for the Nolan and Smith snubs. Nolan is 0-3 in DGA/OSCAR matchups. This does not bode well for any ROTK redux with Dark Knight Rises in 2012. And besides, Lincoln is a 2012 release, they might as well cancel the Oscars.

    I’m also surprised Waiting for Superman and Tron Legacy missed out in their respective categories.

    my instant predictions

    Best Motion Picture of the Year
    THE KING’S SPEECH

    Best Achievement in Directing
    David Fincher, THE SOCIAL NETWORK

    Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
    Colin Firth, THE KING’S SPEECH

    Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
    Natalie Portman, BLACK SWAN

    Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
    Christian Bale, THE FIGHTER

    Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
    Hailee Steinfeld, TRUE GRIT

    Best Adapted Screenplay
    THE SOCIAL NETWORK

    Best Original Screenplay
    THE KING’S SPEECH

    Best Animated Feature Film
    TOY STORY 3

    Best Foreign Language Film
    BIUTIFUL

    Best Documentary Feature
    EXIT THROUGH THE GIFT SHOP

    Best Film Editing
    THE SOCIAL NETWORK

    Best Cinematography
    TRUE GRIT

    Best Art Direction
    INCEPTION

    Best Costume Design
    THE KING’S SPEECH

    Best Makeup
    THE WOLFMAN

    Best Music (Original Score)
    THE KING’S SPEECH

    Best Music (Original Song)
    TOY STORY 3, “We Belong Together”

    Best Sound Editing
    INCEPTION

    Best Sound Mixing
    INCEPTION

    Best Visual Effects
    INCEPTION

    The King’s Speech – 5
    Inception – 4
    The Social Network – 3
    True Grit – 2
    Toy Story 3 – 2
    Black Swan – 1
    Buitiful – 1
    The Fighter – 1
    Exit Through The Gift Shop – 1
    The Wolfman – 1

  • 46 1-25-2011 at 7:22 am

    Andrej said...

    To all those angry about Nolan’s snub, Black Swan’s poor showing and TKS’s dominance… just say this out loudly with your fists raised. It’ll make things better.

    OSSSSSCAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAARSSSSSSSSSSS!!!

    Worked for me.

  • 47 1-25-2011 at 7:23 am

    Maxim said...

    Let’s be honest. There’s a lot of suprises here. For better of for worse, there is a lot to chew on.

    I would argue that Nolan’s exclusion, while notable is not unprecedented. It’s hard to get in for Science Fiction that has both ideas and action. Minority Report/The Matrix should have taught us something.

    As always, there’s few things here that made me truly glad and much more than I found… well, meh.

    127 hours? Eh.

    And can we all agree that Jeremy Renner is the most overrated actor in the town now (no pun intended)?

  • 48 1-25-2011 at 7:24 am

    Tom C. said...

    Overall, except for a couple of epically dumb decisions (Jeremy Renner over Andrew Garfield), I’d say these are some of my favorite Oscar nominations in years. The 10 Best Picture Line-Up paid off this year. No extremely below-par films somehow making it in. I’d say that all the nominees are at least “good” films.

    I’m most happy about the Best Documentary category. “Exit Through the Gift Shop,” “Restrepo” and “Inside Job” all making it in while “Waiting for Superman” completely shut out. WELL DONE, DOC BRANCH. The powers of Oprah have actually been conquered.

  • 49 1-25-2011 at 7:25 am

    Maxim said...

    “Meanwhile, Alan Menken WOULD have tied Randy Newman for most-nominated-dude-still-living…if Randy Newman hadn’t chalked up #20 today, that is.”

    I am also not sure where you were going with this, very obviously wrong, statement but I don’t like it.

  • 50 1-25-2011 at 7:26 am

    Sertan said...

    Kris,

    I really like your piece today. It is very level-headed, fair to everyone while not attacking anyone, good reporting with a few personal thoughts! Very good!

  • 51 1-25-2011 at 7:26 am

    Graysmith said...

    Five first-time nominees that I’m happy for:

    1. John Hawkes, Supporting Actor
    2. Mary Zophres, Costume Design
    3. Matthew Libatique, Cinematography
    4. Jess Gonchor, Art Direction
    5. John Powell, Original Score

    They’ve all been around the block for quite some time and done plenty of excellent work, yet never got Oscar’s recognition until now.

  • 52 1-25-2011 at 7:27 am

    Maxim said...

    Kris, you HAVE GOT TO ASK Anne about that “David O. Russell will never get nominated for an Oscar” comment. I’d love to her response. Not because, I want you to throw it to her face, quite on the contrary I think she had something of a point and would love to hear what she thinks now.

  • 53 1-25-2011 at 7:27 am

    Sertan said...

    Can someone give the total nomination numbers for movies?
    TKS– 12
    True Grit 10
    TSN 8
    The Fighter 7

    What about others?
    I am too lazy to count :))

  • 54 1-25-2011 at 7:28 am

    Maxim said...

    And how’s that for Best Foreign line-up?

  • 55 1-25-2011 at 7:30 am

    RichardA said...

    Renner is pretty good, but Affleck and Rebecca Hall are the ones that deserve a nod from that film.

    And so, True Grit is so scary strong that I fear for Melissa Leo.

    Sam @ 35, completely agree.

  • 56 1-25-2011 at 7:31 am

    DylanS said...

    Here are my complaints:
    Winter’s Bone over The Town.
    No Nolan for Director! Jesus, what the fuck does that guy have to do to get a nomination.
    I haven’t seen Bardem, but I loved Wahlberg, Gosling and Duvall in their films.
    Hawkes in a film that will be an afterthought in 2 years beating out a potentially iconic performance from Garfield in “The Social Network”.
    Weaver, who was kind of a letdown in the otherwise awsome “Animal Kingdom”, beating out Kunis.
    No “Town” screenplay nom, but I kinda saw thar coming. Once again, “Winter’s Bone” showing up where it doesn’t belong.
    No film editing for “Inception” is beyond astounding and will hopefully go down as one of the most absurd omissions in Oscar history. It was really one of the best accomplishments in editing history if you ask me.
    “TRON: Legacy” with no VFX nom is also pretty stunning. Considering “Iron Man 2″ and “Hereafter” are such lesser accomplishments.

    This is always a more dissappointing day than it needs to be. I’m also sick of the “actor’s actor” nominations at the expense of younger performers.

  • 57 1-25-2011 at 7:31 am

    Sertan said...

    Loyal,

    I second your predictions…Very good and fairly distributed (I’d like to see Amy Adams win just because i like her and i believe she was good, even better than Melissa Leo. But i could live with Hailee win!

  • 58 1-25-2011 at 7:32 am

    JFK said...

    Thank god Jacki Weaver was included! Also was really surprised by John Hawkes, but happy for all the Winter’s Bone love!

    I wish that voters who would’ve supported the Social Network would now vote Winter’s Bone!!

  • 59 1-25-2011 at 7:33 am

    Kristopher Tapley said...

    Maxim: Should have said “second-most-nominated-dude-still-living.” Is that not accurate?

  • 60 1-25-2011 at 7:39 am

    Loyal said...

    Thanks Sertan!

    I would actually prefer one of the Fighter actresses to win but I feel True Grit has a big win or two coming it’s way thanks to such an impressive showing (10 noms, Coens directing nom, likely 150+m at the box office).

    And while I would love Zimmer and Pfister to win for their amazing work on Inception, I think it’s time for Desplat and Deakins to shine. Inception will find it’s glory in Sound, VFX, and Art Direction.

  • 61 1-25-2011 at 7:49 am

    Mark said...

    Great nominees all around.

    Winter’s Bone gets its due, finally.

    Cant wait to see Dido performing on the Oscar night. Now that Burlesque song is out, “If I Rise” must be the odds on fav to win it. And truly deserving too. What a song!!!

  • 62 1-25-2011 at 7:51 am

    Craig said...

    A handful of autopilot nominations for The King’s Speech for sure.

    Worst snub is Garfield for sure, as he’s the best in the category, even better than Bale. Nolan for director isn’t far behind, as the Coens clearly don’t belong in that category this year. And Inception should have probably won film editing, so I don’t understand that choice at all.

    Disappointed at the love for The Kids Are All Right, which sports some good performances, but a garbage screenplay with loads of holes. I hope it goes home empty handed.

    I wonder if this will be a year where we look back and say “yep, the Academy definitely made the wrong choice there”. The King’s Speech is good, but The Social Network is a masterpiece.

  • 63 1-25-2011 at 7:55 am

    DRM said...

    Kris,

    You don’t need to worry about overstating Inception’s snubs in Editing and Director. Both of those categories are considered a pretty good indicator of the top 5, so it’s pretty obvious that Inception wouldn’t have made the cut if there were only 5 slots in the Best Picture category.

  • 64 1-25-2011 at 7:58 am

    tim said...

    Argh, no Andrew Garfield?! MAARRKK!!!

  • 65 1-25-2011 at 7:59 am

    Hero said...

    Restrepo!!!!!!!!!!!

    This is all.

  • 66 1-25-2011 at 8:01 am

    Maxim said...

    Kris: Oh, I really wasn’t concerned with accruracy or semantics. It just sounded like you were taking a jab at Williams so I wanted to make sure. Glad it’s not the case.

    In any case, I can think of at least one more person who’s ahead – Woody Allen. I know some audio editing/mixing professionals are somewhere up there too.

  • 67 1-25-2011 at 8:08 am

    El Duderino said...

    The King’s Speech technical recognition is embarrassing.

  • 68 1-25-2011 at 8:09 am

    Patriotsfan said...

    I am extremely happy that John Hawkes got nominated. He gave one of the best performances of the year (in any category) in my opinion.

    I also have to admit that I’m pretty happy with how I did on my predictions (http://auteurfan.blogspot.com/2011/01/predicting-nominees-everything-in-its.html if you want to look at the proof). In the “major 8″ categories, I was 41/45 (only if I had gone with my gut and predicted Hawkes and Bardem) and was 85/105 overall (I skipped the short categories). Not too bad I think.

  • 69 1-25-2011 at 8:14 am

    Arty said...

    Across the eight top categories, I think this is the best set of nominees in years:

    BEST PICTURE
    The best slate that could have been expected from the eleven-strong field which was sadly locked up weeks ago. I’m happy with ’127 Hours’ over ‘The Town’, partly because it is the better film but also because it suggests that a movie need not enjoy massive financial success in order to be nominated.

    BEST DIRECTOR
    Shoot me, I always thought Nolan was the weakest of the bunch. To shepherd him into the fold based on one glaring past snub wouldn’t have been as validating as many commentators seem to believe. I would have loved to see last year’s trend continue and Granik or Chodolenko take his place, but the increasingly secure status of the Coens as Academy staples is cheering enough.

    BEST ACTOR
    I wish Ryan Gosling could be in there too, but there’s no denying a terrific lineup. Honestly, Javier Bardem deserves to win it.

    BEST ACTRESS
    I wish Lesley Manville could be in there too, but there’s no denying a monumentally terrific lineup. Hilary Swank empty-handed means we can wipe our collective brow.

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
    I’m not on board with Jeremy Renner, but John Hawkes’ presence more than makes up for it.

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
    This category was a potential disaster zone, with voters phoning in undistinguished supporting players on the grounds that their films had great support elsewhere. HBC has obviously benefited from that, and even without the egregious category fraud I’m unconvinced that Hailee Steinfeld belongs here, but the fact that the one-note performances in ‘Black Swan’ were jettisoned in favour of a real critical darling should be a cause for celebration.

    ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
    They’ve been locked for ages, but that shouldn’t detract from the excellence of this lineup. I’d sub out ’127 Hours’ for something more adventurous, but that’s not the biggest concern in the world.

    ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
    Even if his actresses are consistently snubbed, the love for Mike Leigh from this branch is a wonderful thing.

    On top of all this, the lineups for Animated Feature, Documentary Feature and Foreign Language Film are stellar. What a year!

  • 70 1-25-2011 at 8:34 am

    Paul Outlaw said...

    Only two nominations in the entire list that irk me, and neither of them was a surprise, so that’s a good Tuesday morning.

    As far as omissions go, it’s too bad about Gosling (I personally would replace Eisenberg with him) and Manville (no room at the inn).

    And what an understated Best Makeup line-up.

  • 71 1-25-2011 at 8:40 am

    Kristopher Tapley said...

    Maxim: Actually, it’s as follows. You’re right:

    John Williams: 45
    Woody Allen: 21
    Randy Newman: 20
    Kevin O’Connell: 20
    Alan Menken: 19

    So, THIRD-most-nominated-dude-still-living. :)

  • 72 1-25-2011 at 8:40 am

    PaulH said...

    Nolan is the modern version of 70′s/80′s Spielberg: directs entertaining films, quality films, films that are BOTH. That’s a non-starter for the Academy; they’ll toss you nominations for everything else, but that good work has nothing to do with the dude in the director’s chair.

    Russell should get down on his knees and pray to whatever deity he holds dear and thank it that he’s one of the final five. I wound up being half-right on my no guts, no glory pic on AwardsDaily. I thought Inception would be shut out of both BP and BD. I hate even being half-right. :(

  • 73 1-25-2011 at 8:47 am

    Mike_M said...

    Too much 127 Hours love for my taste… bummed about Nolan not getting in for Director of Smith for Editing… I knew it wouldn’t happen, but I really wish Gosling got a nom, he gave my fav performance of the year and he stuck out as better than Williams, but Actress was a weaker field. Shocked Dogtooth made it in, FINALLY going to catch it tonight.

  • 74 1-25-2011 at 8:55 am

    Greg Y said...

    In one night, the Academy managed to declare:
    -that The King’s Speech had sound that was *in the top 5 of the year*
    -that Unstoppable deserved a nomination for its terrifyingly one-note and grating sound mixing
    -that Garfield was worse than Ruffalo or Renner or Hawkes
    -that Inception directed AND edited itself
    -that while Williams was worthy of a nomination, Gosling was not.

    You go, AMPAS!

  • 75 1-25-2011 at 8:55 am

    Lenny said...

    Loving the server problems across the board on all Oscar sites this morning. Makes me feel half as annoyed as Christopher Nolan right now.

    Seriously, what does the guy have to do to get a Best Director nomination? The man has three DGA nominations but nothing from the Academy. What did he do that was so bad that justifies him being snubbed on two separate occasions? I can understand not being nominated for Memento but come on now he missed for The Dark Knight and now he misses for Inception. To the members of the Academy: Wake the Fuck Up!!!!

    Also, I thought that Inception was easily one of the best, if not the best, edited films of the year. To see Lee Smith miss with the Academy for a film that demonstrated a supreme mastery of the craft is a great shame.

    Other than that, I love how Another Year got a nod somewhere, even if it was for its improvisational screenplay.

    The King’s Speech with a sound nomination? Again, Wake the Fuck Up….but now The King’s Speech is the frontrunner based on two things: the PGA victory and this morning’s announcements. To me, that’s a shame because it looks like The Social Network is about to get royally shafted.

    I did love the showing for True Grit because I think it’s also a truly great film. The lack of an editing nomination hurts its chances in stealing the big prize. I also think there were more deserving contenders than Jeff Bridges this year but I’m not complaining that much because I loved True Grit.

    Waiting for Superman…supposed frontrunner turned to Oscar snub…very interesting.

    Four nominees in the Original Song category deserves another Wake the Fuck Up

    Supporting Actress is probably the hardest race to call this year. If they want to make this a big night for The King’s Speech (which is certainly possible given this morning’s announcement), then they could give the award to Carter. If they want to spread some love around for True Grit, they would recognize Steinfeld and then give cinematography to Deakins. The Academy will already be recognizing The Fighter through Bale so it’s incredibly possible that Adams and Leo could cancel each other out. Weaver has no shot but again, most interesting race by far on Oscar night.

    A little surprised by the low nod count for Black Swan. Like Inception, it was cleaning up with all the guilds so to see it miss in the sound categories and for costume design is a bit surprising. But I’m not as big on the film as everyone else seems to be. Guess I have to watch it again.

    Oh, and I agree with you Kris. I wish that Shutter Island was recognized somewhere at least in Art Direction or Cinematography because it truly was one of the year’s most underrated gems as far as I’m concerned.

    We’ll see what happens…there’s still a lot of things left to be determined in this 2010 Oscar race.

  • 76 1-25-2011 at 8:57 am

    Maxim said...

    Man, I really hope Kevin O’Connell wins an Oscar one of these days. He both deserves it and needs to have it so that he’s not overshadowed by the non-recognition recognition.

  • 77 1-25-2011 at 9:09 am

    Jeremy said...

    41 of 45 for me above the line, including all 10 Best Picture nods. I’d be happy if I weren’t furious over the Nolan snub. Till next time, I suppose. At least “Deathly Hallows” landed an Art Direction nod, though I’d have liked it to show up for Cinematography as well.

  • 78 1-25-2011 at 9:24 am

    THE Diego Ortiz said...

    I hate that Nolan got snubbed (He should have three nominations, not two) but I’m not as pissed off as I was the last time.

    Who do you replace? It’s a good list. It’s not like last time when the answer was simply Stephen Daldry.

  • 79 1-25-2011 at 9:31 am

    Jeremy said...

    I’d swap out Russell in a heartbeat. But that’s me.

    I think I’m more disappointed this time around just because I was fully expecting Nolan to receive a nomination for “Inception”, whereas I thought his chances for “Dark Knight” were less than 50-50.

  • 80 1-25-2011 at 9:34 am

    AN said...

    Nolan snubbed. So what else is new?

    On the flip side…

    Go:

    Steinfeld
    Hawkes
    Weaver

    Amen,praise the Lawd & pass the ammunition.

  • 81 1-25-2011 at 9:35 am

    Holden said...

    Sad by the lack of love for Inception, TRON Legacy, Black Swan, and Andrew Garfield. However, that’s okay. Waiting for Superman didn’t get nominated, so maybe Exit Through the Gift Shop will hopefully win. Fingers crossed!!!

  • 82 1-25-2011 at 9:36 am

    Hero said...

    Now that I’ve come down from cloud nine over Restrepo getting in, I do have to register my sadness over neither Ed Harris or Matt Damon getting into Supporting Actor. Then again, I like a lot of what happened this morning. I wasn’t particularly impressed with either Black Swan or Inception, so the lower than expected totals for those two films make me rather happy. And I loved True Grit and TKS, and liked TSN quite a bit, so I’m happy to see the love for those films.

  • 83 1-25-2011 at 9:40 am

    Holden said...

    Another thing to add is that despite the “surprises” the people who replaced the people that were predicted (Bardem over Duvall or Gosling, John Hawkes over Andrew Garfield, etc.) it isn’t like previous years where it’s some stupid out of the blue surprise. All of the people that were nominated were completely deserving, and even in the directing field, everyone is good. It seems odd that people didn’t predict this scenario. The Academy seems to hate Nolan or something. Maybe they’ll apologize by giving him a screenplay win.

  • 84 1-25-2011 at 9:52 am

    DRM said...

    “Maybe they’ll apologize by giving him a screenplay win.”

    No. King’s Speech or Kids Are All Right will get Original Screenplay. David O. Russell getting in over Nolan is an embarrassment that will be laughed at 50 years from now.

  • 85 1-25-2011 at 10:00 am

    JJ1 said...

    Happy: Bardem, Kidman, Williams, Hawkes, Another Year screenplay, I Am Love (wow!), The Way Back make-up, HTTYD (music!), The Illusionist.

    Unhappy: Gosling, Manville, Garfield, no Inception editing.

  • 86 1-25-2011 at 10:03 am

    Sebastián said...

    The song There’s a Place for Us was not at Oscar.com. At first they’ve made 2 mistakes: In the best actor field they didn’t include Colin Firth and in the makeup category they include Adrien Morot, but not for what film he got a nomination.

  • 87 1-25-2011 at 10:03 am

    JJ1 said...

    I am SO sad about Manville. Having just seen the performance …. pfffsh, yeah.

    She rode the line btwn. both categories too finely, I guess.

  • 88 1-25-2011 at 10:11 am

    PaulH said...

    Biutiful shouldn’t be nominated. It’s released in the US on January 28. Fuck the 1-week in NY and LA stuff, this is a 2011 film vying for a 2010 Oscar.

  • 89 1-25-2011 at 11:11 am

    www.imitationlife.com said...

    Delighted for Another Year’s nod in the screenplay category, Jacki Weaver, John Hawkes, Michelle Williams, The Illusionist, Jeremy Renner.
    Saddened by Lesley Manville’s and Ryan Gosling’s snubs.
    For full analysis check out the blog Imitation of Life.

  • 90 1-25-2011 at 11:18 am

    www.imitationlife.com said...

    After months campaigning for her, here is my last tribute to the great Lesley Manville. Read the interview I held with her in Imitation of Life.

  • 91 1-25-2011 at 11:26 am

    Rashad said...

    Paul, to be in the Foreign category you don’t need a US release

  • 92 1-25-2011 at 11:44 am

    Kristopher Tapley said...

    PaulH: Rules is rules.

  • 93 1-25-2011 at 2:54 pm

    matsunaga said...

    -I hope that the Hereafter nod just went to Scott Pilgrim Vs. the World (I think the bad reviews of Tron Legacy affects its VFX nod)

    -Nice to see I Am Love Costume Design nomination (I was hoping for a Secretariat nod in this category instead of True Grit)

    -I really hope Rush and Bonham-Carter won respectively especially the latter not just for a subtle and different performance in TKS, but for a convincing performance in Harry Potter 7: Part 1 and yes in Alice in Wonderland… My hopes are still high for both supporting nods…

    -Art Direction nominees are well deserved… Clap Clap!

    -I still don’t get the The Social network Cinematography nod…. How I wish it was Shutter Island….

    -Maybe Nolan should make a Memento 2 film to sneak a Directing nomination… I didn’t think he deserved a Directing nod as well for Inception, well it’s just me.. Coen Brothers did a good job in True Grit…

    -127 Hours nod was nice even in Editing…

    -Over all, I’m satisfied with the nominations…. Nice to see The King’s Speech leading the pack…

  • 94 1-25-2011 at 3:50 pm

    ninja said...

    Words can`t discribe how disgusting Nolan snub in director and editing is. I`m so sick right now, I won`t be able to go to work tomorrow because I`m having a meltodown of epic proportions over this unfathomable tragedy. This is no hyperbole, I`m calling in sick tomorrow.

  • 95 1-25-2011 at 7:30 pm

    Lance said...

    I love how everyone considers the academy one brain as if everyone in the branch got together and made these decisions as a whole.

  • 96 1-26-2011 at 9:12 am

    Edwin Drood said...

    Thrilled with the 12 nods for “The King’s Speech” and hope this will encourage more productions like this. Surprised but gratified over the exclusion of “Inception” for direction and editing; the real outrage is that Nolan received a writing nod for a one-note, not-so-original screenplay which features barely-there characterizations and flat dialogue…