In Contention

Pencils down

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As of this moment, all voting polls are closed, all ballots are due, all campaigning is beside the point.  The 2010 Oscar season is over, with just the pesky formality of the actual Oscar ceremony to come.

So, any thoughts on what tides may have turned in the final moments?  There are more ballots that show up in the final week of voting than you’d think.

I think the potential beneficiaries would be Helena Bonham Carter (not Hailee Steinfeld) and Annette Bening.  Some think an overall retaliation to the guild dominance of “The King’s Speech” could kick in, but I think that’s highly doubtful.  It would be one thing if a film they just weren’t high on won all those guilds.  It’s another thing entirely when it’s a safe pick.

I’ll say this, though.  Here is a story (NSFW!) that I imagine some are happy didn’t pop up earlier.

Comments

28 responses to “Pencils down”

  1. Brock Landers Avatar
    Brock Landers

    I just don’t see it at all for Bening. When is the last time a lead actress lost all the major precursors and went on to win the Oscar? I don’t think her charm is enough to get the votes on her side. Whether people liked Black Swan or not, most loved Portman’s performance.

    I’m also not feeling it for Carter. People love the movie, sure. It will probably win a ton of awards. Her performance really doesn’t stand out though, and like Bening, I don’t think her charm is enough to get her the win. I think it is down to Leo or Steinfeld.

    I think if any category has been swayed in the last week it has been editing. It may have been TSN all along, but with the BAFTA win and the ACE win, it looks like the momentum may have shifted its way.

    I have also been feeling like Hooper was going to win for a while now, but I just have this feeling that Fincher is going to take it. I think the TV voters may have influenced the DGA win. BAFTA does often split the vote, but they also awarded TKS Best British Film, so the fact that Hooper lost was a surprise. I’m going with Fincher in a last minute prediction switch.

  2. Andrej Avatar

    … and of all locations, they just had to have gay porn there. Just perfect, can’t wait to see what the fanfics will tell of Lionel and Bertie’s forbidden therapies.

    Anyways, that was a bit of news I could have lived without knowing xD Thanks for being such a source of scarring news, Kris.

  3. americanrequeim Avatar
    americanrequeim

    um ew kris

  4. Kristopher Tapley Avatar

    Don’t blame me, blame Gawker.

  5. americanrequeim Avatar
    americanrequeim

    by the way thats totally the same set…weirdd

  6. Fitz Avatar

    Maybe all this attention regarding Banksy and Exit Through the Gift Shop could net it a win?

  7. TT Avatar
    TT

    OMG, I’m dying from laughing so hard!!!

  8. americanrequeim Avatar
    americanrequeim

    shasha stone is gonna eat this up by the way

  9. Indiana Avatar
    Indiana

    That is HILARIOUS! And we just know that the UK NAKED MEN film company is going to return to make a porn version of KINGS SPEECH. Shall we have a contest to decide what the porn version will be called?

  10. Jacob S. Avatar
    Jacob S.

    Does anyone have a link to that particular porno?

  11. Armando Avatar
    Armando

    @Indiana

    How about The King’s Screech?

  12. TT Avatar
    TT

    My out of left field prediction – Adams. Leo backlash cause of Consideration ads (makes no sense to do this when you’re already the FAVORITE) and peaking too early. Voters don’t like “complainer.” Steinfeld would have won considering amount of screen time but her perf just was not that great. Adams has already been nominated twice and more importantly, Fighter is well-liked and she may get those Leo votes now. Besides JB and Doubt, Enchanted was well-liked (smaller awards, ie. Globe, nominations). She’s at right age, mid 30’s, for voters and carries herself well in public.

    If you put gun to head, I’d say Carter but Adams is dark-horse w/ real chance, IMO.

  13. Amir Avatar

    “Did Mr. Rush taste the faint hint of semen and man-p***y in the air and think, “Ahhhhh! History!”?”

    HAHAHAHAHAHA
    that article was the best part of my day.

  14. Maxim Avatar
    Maxim

    Man, I sooo hope this makes it’s way to the Oscar Ceremony… somehow!

  15. kel Avatar
    kel

    The King’s Cooch

  16. Glenn Avatar

    “shasha stone is gonna eat this up by the way”

    Very poor choice of words given the situation, americanrequiem :)

  17. red_wine Avatar
    red_wine

    Sasha Stone has already called it a TV movie and much else, a gay porn movie is not very far off. Perhaps in her next article…

    But really this is a ridiculous story. But I guess when someone found out, they were obviously not gonna keep it to themselves.
    I thought it was a beautiful apartment and was production designed! Seriously, knowing ‘behind the scenes’ details can break the spell about movies.

  18. brian Avatar
    brian

    no penis’ down.

  19. /3rtfu11 Avatar
    /3rtfu11

    Academy Award for Best Actress (2010) – Annette Bening (52 is old for a woman in Hollywood – just give it to her – Portman is 29 – if Julia Roberts can survive being beaten by Kathy Bates for Misery over her career defining performance in Pretty Woman so can Portman).

    Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress (2010) – Helena Bonham Carter (Howard’s End, Fight Club, lost Best Actress to Helen Hunt). She’s the only real star in her category.

  20. al b. Avatar
    al b.

    That’s hysterical! It’s not often that a story involving gay porn just makes my day! I was gonna post it on my facebook but then I thought my friends would probably be put off by the uh… penises.

  21. Pierre de Plume Avatar
    Pierre de Plume

    Now we know why Colin Firth sat so far to the end of that couch — the other cushions were sticky.

  22. lily Avatar
    lily

    I saw this last night. I’m surprised Sasha Stone still hasn’t reported it on her site. I can’t wait to read her reaction! It’ll be more hilarious than the actual photos!

  23. Alex in Movieland Avatar

    hahaha :))

    I’m totally gonna look up that film.

  24. San FranCinema Avatar
    San FranCinema

    The King’s Reach Around.

  25. Jonathan Spuij Avatar

    My god, that gay porn thing should’ve been digged up earlier. It would’ve been a serious howler throughout the season.

  26. Mark Avatar
    Mark

    @red_wine: It is a TV movie. Completely uncinematic. It’s a filmed theatre piece. Nothing wrong with that at all but that’s what it is.

  27. Matthias Zucker Avatar
    Matthias Zucker

    That is so funny. Obviously a popular location they chose for the film.

    Now let me bring up a point about this that is somewhat relevant to the Oscars: Art Direction. Hasn’t this very room, the central set of the film, been named as the major argument for TKS potentially winning the category? This, however, proves that it isn’t a designed set at all, but indeed simply a redecorated existing location. Which in and of itself doesn’t matter if it serves the quality of the film, but wouldn’t you say that “Achievement in Art Direction” is something else?

  28. JJ1 Avatar
    JJ1

    The Naked Men Porno thing … hysterical. Seeing the pictures alternately TKS and the naked men are just too funny.

    On Oscars, I’m flailing. FLAILING with Supporting Actress.

    2 days ago I was all in for HBC, now I’m thinking Amy Adams (nice campaign, 3 noms so far, and anti-Leo sentiment shifts straight to her) or complete shocker, Jacki Weaver.

    But in all honesty, it could just be Melissa Leo and it’s over & done. Drama for nothing.

    Art Direction/Costume. No friggin’ clue. Though, it could be the same movie twice (TKS or Alice). Porn room notwithstanding. ;)