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NUTSHELL: The major guilds have all spoken — SAG, PGA, DGA, WGA — and the season’s mystery is slowly unfolding. The five we’ve had predicted for a month and a half have proven to elicit the most passion across the board, while “The Wrestler” is still hovering as an obvious industry favorite. However, it might be worth pointing out the rumblings inside the industry, namely the support drumming up for Clint Eastwood’s “Gran Torino” in a big way. In some circles, it’s the #6 film of the competition, coming up on the outside as a possible spoiler on January 22. The “WALL-E” support is there, but minimal (Walt Disney had its chance) and “Doubt” has proven to be all about the acting. So…watch out.
Column: “From the horse’s mouth”
Sort charts by: Main Categories/Technical Categories
| BEST PICTURE | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | “Slumdog Millionaire” Fox Searchlight Pictures/Warner Bros. Pictures |
— |
| 2 | “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” Paramount Pictures |
— | 3 | “Frost/Nixon” Universal Pictures |
— |
| 5 | “Milk” Focus Features |
— |
| 5 | “The Dark Knight” Warner Bros. Pictures |
— |
| 6 | “Doubt” Miramax Films |
— |
| 7 | “WALL-E” Walt Disney Pictures |
— |
| 8 | “The Wrestler” Fox Searchlight Pictures |
 |
| 9 | “Gran Torino” Warner Bros. Pictures |
NEW |
| 10 | “The Reader” The Weinstein Company |
 |
| DIRECTING | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Boyle “Slumdog Millionaire” |
— |
| 2 | David Fincher “The Curious case of Benjamin Button” |
— |
| 3 | Christopher Nolan “The Dark Knight” |
|
| 4 | Gus Van Sant “Milk” |
|
| 5 | Darren Aronofsky “The Wrestler” |
|
| 6 | Ron Howard “Frost/Nixon” |
— |
| 7 | Woody Allen “Vicky Cristina Barcelona” |
|
| 8 | Clint Eastwood “Gran Torino” (or “Changeling”) |
|
| 9 | Andrew Stanton “WALL-E” |
NEW |
| 10 | John Patrick Shanley “Doubt” |
|
| ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Penn “Milk” |
|
| 2 | Frank Langella “Frost/Nixon” |
|
| 3 | Mickey Rourke “The Wrestler” |
|
| 4 | Clint Eastwood “Gran Torino” |
— |
| 5 | Richard Jenkins “The Visitor” |
— |
| 6 | Brad Pitt “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” |
|
| 7 | Leonardo DiCaprio “Revolutionary Road” |
— | 8 | Josh Brolin “W.” |
— |
| 9 | Dustin Hoffman “Last Chance Harvey” |
— |
| 10 | Javier Bardem “Vicky Cristina Barcelona” |
— |
| ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Meryl Streep “Doubt” |
|
| 2 | Anne Hathaway “Rachel Getting Married” |
|
| 3 | Kate Winslet “Revolutionary Road” |
|
| 4 | Melissa Leo “Frozen River” |
— |
| 5 | Angelina Jolie “Changling” |
— |
| 6 | Sally Hawkins “Happy-Go-Lucky” |
— |
| 7 | Cate Blanchett “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” |
— | 8 | Kristin Scott Thomas “I’ve Loved You So Long” |
— |
| 9 | Kate Beckinsale “Nothing But the Truth” |
— |
| 10 | Kate Winslet “The Reader” |
— |
| ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heath Ledger “The Dark Knight” |
— |
| 2 | Robert Downey Jr. “Tropic Thunder” |
|
| 3 | Josh Brolin “Milk” |
— |
| 4 | Philip Seymour Hoffman “Doubt” |
|
| 5 | Dev Patel “Slumdog Millionaire” |
— |
| 6 | James Franco “Milk” |
— |
| 7 | Michael Shannon “Revolutionary Road” |
— |
| 8 | Eddie Marsan “Happy-Go-Lucky” |
— |
| 9 | Ralph Fiennes “The Duchess” (or “The Reader”) |
— |
| 10 | Bill Irwin “Rachel Getting Married” |
— |
| ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penélope Cruz “Vicky Cristina Barcelona” |
— |
| 2 | Viola Davis “Doubt” |
— |
| 3 | Kate Winslet “The Reader” |
|
| 4 | Taraji P. Henson “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” |
|
| 5 | Amy Adams “Doubt” |
— |
| 6 | Marisa Tomei “The Wrestler” |
— |
| 7 | Rosemarie DeWitt “Rachel Getting Married” |
— |
| 8 | Rebecca Hall “Vicky Cristina Barcelona” |
— |
| 9 | Vera Farmiga “Nothing But the Truth” |
— |
| 10 | Frances McDormand “Burn After Reading” |
— |
| WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY) | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | “Slumdog Millionaire” Written by Simon Beaufoy Based on the book “Q and A” by Vikas Swarup |
— |
| 2 | “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” Written by Eric Roth; Screen Story by Eric Roth, Robin Swicord Based on the short story by F. Scott Fitzgerald |
— |
| 3 | “Doubt” Written by John Patrick Shanley Based on his stage play |
— |
| 4 | “Frost/Nixon” Written by Peter Morgan Based on his stage play |
— |
| 5 | “The Dark Knight” Written by Christopher Nolan, Jonathan Nolan Story by David S. Goyer, Christopher Nolan Based on characters appearing in comic books published by DC Comics; Batman created by Bob Kane |
— |
| 6 | “The Reader” Written by David Hare Based on the novel by Bernhard Schlink |
— |
| 7 | “Revolutionary Road” Written by Justin Haythe Based on the short story by Richard Yates |
— |
| 8 | “Gomorrah” Written by Maurizio Braucci, Ugo Chiti, Gianni Di Gregorio, Matteo Garrone, Massimo Gaudiso, Roberto Saviano Based on the book by Roberto Saviano |
— |
| 9 | “The Class” Written by François Bégaudeau, Robin Campillo, Laurent Cantet Based on the book by François Bégaudeau |
— |
| 10 | “Iron Man” Written by Mark Fergus & Hawk Ostby and Art Marcum & Matt Holloway; Based on characters appearing in comic books published by Marvel Comics; Iron Man created by Stan Lee Based on the book by Nechama Tec |
— |
| WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY) | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | “Vicky Cristina Barcelona” Written by Woody Allen |
— |
| 2 | “Milk” Written by Dustin Lance Black |
— |
| 3 | “The Wrestler” Written by Robert Siegel |
— |
| 4 | “Happy-Go-Lucky” Written by Mike Leigh |
— |
| 5 | “WALL-E” Original story by Pete Docter, Andrew Stanton Screenplay by Jim Reardon, Andrew Stanton |
— |
| 6 | “The Visitor” Written by Thomas McCarthy |
|
| 7 | “Rachel Getting Married” Written by Jenny Lumet |
|
| 8 | “Gran Torino” Written by Nick Schenk |
— |
| 9 | “Changeling” Written by J. Michael Straczynski |
— |
| 10 | “Waltz with Bashir” Written by Ari Folman |
— |
| ANIMATED FEATURE FILM | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | “WALL-E” Walt Disney Pictures |
— |
| 2 | “Kung Fu Panda” DreamWorks SKG |
— |
| 3 | “Waltz with Bashir” Sony Pictures Classics |
— |
| 4 | “Bolt” Walt Disney Pictures |
— |
| 5 | “Horton Hears a Who!” 20th Century Fox |
— |
| 6 | “The Tale of Despereaux” Universal Pictures |
— |
| 7 | “Igor” The Weinstein Company |
— |
| 8 | “Space Chimps” 20th Century Fox |
— |
| 9 | “Madagascar: Escape 2 Africa” DreamWorks SKG |
— |
| 10 | “Star Wars: The Clone Wars” Warner Bros. Pictures |
— |
