Here's my take:

Best Picture: "Juno" (though this film depreciates more with multiple viewings, while "There Will Be Blood" gets better and better. These were my #4 and #5 films of the year, so I'm torn.)
Best Director: Julian Schnabel, "The Diving Bell and the Butterfly"
Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis, "There Will be Blood"
Best Actress: Marion Cotillard, "La Vie en Rose"
Best Supporting Actor: Casey Affleck, "The Assassionation of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford"
Best Supporting Actress: Cate Blanchett, "I'm Not There" (but this category is not very exciting)
Best Adapted Screenplay: "The Diving Bell and the Butterfly"
Best Original Screenplay: "The Savages" (I've changed my tune on this versus "Juno" recently)
Best Art Direction: "Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street"
Best Cinematography: "The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford"
Best Costume Design: "Elizabeth: The Golden Age"
Best Film Editing: "No Country for Old Men"
Best Makeup: "La Vie en Rose"
Best Music - Original Score: "3:10 to Yuma"
Best Music - Original Song: "Once"
Best Sound Editing: "Transformers"
Best Sound Mixing: "Transformers"
Best Visual Effects: "Transformers"
Best Documenary Feature: "No End In Sight"
Best Animated Feature: "Persepolis"

...I really need to frequent this space a little more than I do, huh?

The nominations now seem so...little. I am stunned and depressed at this tragic news. In his little time on screen, he contributed so much. I felt the sky was the limit.

"The Dark Knight" has always been my most anticipated of 2008. Now watching it is going to be so hard.

RIP. :(

Best Picture
“Atonement”
“Into the Wild”
“Juno”
“Michael Clayton”
“No Country for Old Men”
Alt: “There Will Be Blood”

Best Director
Joe Wright, “Atonement”
Julian Schnabel, “The Diving Bell and the Butterfly”
Sean Penn, “Into the Wild”
Ethan Coen, Joel Coen, “No Country for Old Men”
Paul Thomas Anderson, “There Will Be Blood”
Alt: Tony Gilroy, “Michael Clayton”

Best Actor
George Clooney, “Michael Clayton”
Daniel Day-Lewis, “There Will Be Blood”
Johnny Depp, “Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street”
Emile Hirsch, “Into the Wild”
Viggo Mortensen, “Eastern Promises”
Alt: Ryan Gosling - “Lars and the Real Girl”

Best Actress
Julie Christie, “Away From Her”
Marion Cotillard, “La Vie En Rose”
Keira Knightley, “Atonement”
Angelina Jolie, “A Mighty Heart”
Ellen Page, “Juno”
Alt: Cate Blanchett “Elizabeth: The Golden Age”

Best Supporting Actor
Casey Affleck, “The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford”
Javier Bardem, “No Country for Old Men”
Hal Holbrook, “Into the Wild”
Tommy Lee Jones, “No Country for Old Men”
Tom Wilkinson, “Michael Clayton”
Alt: Philip Seymour Hoffman “Charlie Wilson’s War”

Best Supporting Actress
Cate Blanchett, “I’m Not There”
Kelly MacDonald, “No Country for Old Men”
Saoirse Ronan, “Atonement”
Amy Ryan, “Gone Baby Gone”
Tilda Swinton, “Michael Clayton”
Alt: Ruby Dee, “American Gangster”

Best Adapted Screenplay
“Atonement”
“The Diving Bell and the Butterfly”
“Into the Wild”
“No Country for Old Men”
“There Will Be Blood”
Alt: “Charlie Wilson's War”

Best Original Screenplay
“Juno”
“Knocked Up”
“Lars and the Real Girl”
“Michael Clayton”
“Ratatouille”
Alt: “The Savages”

Best Animated Feature Film
“Persepolis”
“Ratatouille”
“The Simpsons Movie”
Alt: “Bee Movie”

Best Art Direction
“3:10 To Yuma”
“The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford”
“Atonement”
“Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street”
“There Will Be Blood”
Alt: “Elizabeth: The Golden Age”

Best Cinematography
“The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford”
“Atonement”
“The Diving Bell and the Butterfly”
“No Country for Old Men”
“There Will Be Blood”
Alt: “Into the Wild”

Best Costume Design
“The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford”
“Atonement”
“Elizabeth: The Golden Age”
“Hairspray”
“Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street”
Alt: “3:10 to Yuma”

Best Film Editing
“Atonement”
“Into the Wild”
“No Country for Old Men”
“Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street”
“There Will Be Blood”
Alt: “The Diving Bell and the Butterfly”

Best Makeup
“La Vie En Rose”
“Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End”
“Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street”
Alt: “The Diving Bell and the Butterfly”

Best Music, Original Score
“3:10 to Yuma”
“Atonement”
“The Kite Runner”
“There Will Be Blood”
“Ratatouille”
Alt: “Lust, Caution”

Best Music, Original Song
“Enchanted” – “That’s How You Know”
“Hairspray” – “Come So Far” (Got So Far to Go)”
“Into the Wild” – “Guaranteed”
“Once” – “Falling Slowly”
“Walk Hard” – “Walk Hard: The Dewey Cox Story”
Alt: “American Gangster” – “Do You Feel Me”

Best Sound Editing
“Ratatouille”
“Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street”
“Transformers”
Alt: “Spider-Man 3”

Best Sound Mixing
“300”
“Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End”
“Ratatouille”
“Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street”
“Transformers”
Alt: “Into the Wild”

Best Visual Effects
“The Golden Compass”
“Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End”
“Transformers”
Alt: “Spider-Man 3”

How many directors have been nominated for both the Golden Globe and the DGA and have then gone on to NOT get an Oscar nom? I'm thinking about how locked Schnabel seems to have become. He might not even be a lone director nom at this point, and that's very cool. Off the top of my head poor Baz is the only one I can think of. Any others?

Would anyone else be completely unsurprised if this turned out to be our directing line-up? I could see Wright or Burton (or Reitman, that Juno love is like wildfire lately) replacing Gilroy at the last second, but really, I think this is it.

Anderson!!!!!!!
Coens
Gilroy
Penn
Schnabel

In case you can't tell, the first name psyched me out. Apart from that, this may complete the fall of "Atonement" and "Sweeney Todd" while assuring "Into the Wild" and making "The Diving Bell and the Butterfly" (which I've felt good about since the BFCA/HFPA) and "Michael Clayton" (not a typical "director's film") look very solid.

"There Will Be Blood" remains the weak link on the BP front, though Anderson is ahead of Gilroy as far as Directing goes.

What sayeth you?

The American Society of Cinematographers has announced its nominees...

"The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford" - Roger Deakins
"Atonement" - Seamus McGarvey
"The Diving Bell and the Butterfly" - Janusz Kaminski
"No Country for Old Men" - Roger Deakins
"There Will Be Blood" - Robert Elswit

This year was an embarassment of riches in this category, and all five nominated achievements are superb.

The matchup rate with Oscar is usually 3/5 or 4/5 but these five seem solid. While may preference for a spoiler would be Rodrigo Prieto ("Lust, Caution"), I nonetheless suspect that Eric Gautier is the man most likely to bump out one of the five guild nominees for "Into the Wild." But who would that be? I think I'm going to predict a rare 5/5 matchup.